Now every new game is a new list of sports.
Instead of Karate and Baseball – Break Dance and Surfing to Tahiti. What are the strangeness of the Olympics in Paris in Paris?
Did not have time to get used to the fact that the karate is now the Olympic sport? And it is not worth it, because in the program of games of this Japanese martial arts will no longer be. According to Thomas Baha Strategy, the Olympiad now resembles a designer who is going separately for each new city. In Paris, in 2024 there will be no baseball with softball – the French do not know how to use after the games a dear baseball stadium. But there will be a break dance and surfing, which will hold. in the AAHPOO. This is a village on Tahiti thousands of kilometers from the capital of France. But in fact, changes in the Olympic program are noticeably more. What do they threaten Russia in terms of fighting in the medal standings? Can we move higher in the final table? There are chances, but also the dangers collapse even below.
In Break Dance from Russia may be the Olympic champion
Let's start with the most obvious – remove two full-fledged sports and add one new one. The fact that in Paris will not be baseball and softball, it is known for a long time. As with the fact that the idea is included in the program of Tokyo karate games – goodwill gesture against Japanese organizers. There was a little hope that the karate would like it all that they will be left for OI, but this did not happen. However, it is unlikely that it should be very upset, since only one athlete Anna Chernysheva was driving in Tokyo to Tokyo on karate competitions, and she could not take part because of a positive test to Coronavirus. Not a problem for Russia and the temporary exclusion of baseball – our team did not help to qualify for a ticket to the games even attracted Cubans.
Surfing, which was also injected with a large skepticism, remains with us at least to Los Angeles. True, in France there are no suitable waves, and the Organizing Committee decided to hold a tournament in the Pacific Ocean – on the Islands of French Polyesia. Interestingly in this regard, as Paris-2024 will solve the issue of logistics. Debuts at the Olympics 2024 Break Dance. He had time to test on youth games, and interest was high. By the way, here we can count on a medal increase compared to Tokyo, because we have several strong breaks both in the men's category and in women. And on the Yoy 2018 in Buenos Aires, Russian Sergey Chernyshev under the nickname Bumblebee won the gold medal. But in general, the situation in the overall standings after these changes is unlikely to change radically.
Yes, after three years, a lot of new athletes will perform on the OA, and the tournament minims will be different than in Tokyo. But still, if there is a softball, baseball and karate in the medal table, add brake dance results to YOY-2018, then in the TOP-10, only France will change its position, dropping from the 8th place on the 9th.
Fake the Russians to the Olympics will be more difficult
Significant can affect more subtle settings for the number of playful sets of awards in the already familiar disciplines. In general, the IOC has two global tasks – to reduce the total number of athletes (to reduce the costs of the organizing committee), while expanding geography and achieve gender equality. And the Committee is as close as possible to this purpose. In Paris-2024, men will have 156 sets of awards, and in women – 151. The number of mixed and open competitions increased from 18 to 22. There are only three closed ones in the program. And each of them is critical for Russia, so it is extremely desirable to appear the female category in the Greek-Roman wrestling, as well as male or at least mixed – in synchronous swimming and rhythmic gymnastics. Unfortunately, IOC did not add a mix duet to the synchronous swimming program, and this would be another guaranteed medal.
Total number of Olympic quotas in France for all countries decreases by 1000 people. This is done primarily by more hard selection on the game, which is brighter, it is clearly visible by the weightlifting sanctions that fell under large-scale sanctions. The IOC wants to see the competition of the elite in the Olympiad, while there will certainly be preserved overwhelms with the complexity of qualifications for Europeans and Africa with Oceania. The best example of such inequality is – Football, where Portugal does not always break through, but there is a place for Tahiti or Honduras. Our team is also not promulit nothing good – we take the selection through Europe, and some of the potential medalists may not break through.
For example, a great success in Tokyo of the Russian basketball 3×3 anticipated the tricky scheme of hitting the Olympics through the Wild Card Point "Contribution to the Development of World Sports". To compete for awards in France, our streetbolists will have to go through tough joints with the Balkan and Baltic countries. Olympic standing in athletics and athletics, due to the handle whose plank, the four-time Olympic champion Mo Farra did not get to Tokyo. But again, for the third world countries, IOC has exceptions and promotion.
